The Met Office in the UK is forecasting that record-breaking rainfall is likely to happen three times as often by 2100.
Scientists said the frequency of very heavy rainfall events has already increased from one every 300 years to one every 100 years due to climate change, and this would increase again to one every 30 years by the end of the century, under a medium-emissions scenario.
The study, carried out by the Met Office’s scientific research arm the Hadley Centre and published in the journal Atmospheric Science Letters, also found that extremes are likely to become more common, with periods of particularly wet or dry weather happening more frequently.